Victorian election 2026: Concern and scepticism among Labor MPs as new poll shows party trailing One Nation

Ben Carroll refuses to be drawn on latest opinion poll that puts Labor at all-time low of just 18%, behind One Nation on 21% and the Coalition on 33%

Victorian Labor MPs are both sceptical and seriously concerned about a new poll ahead of the state election showing the party trailing third behind One Nation, with its primary vote at an all-time low of just 18%.

The DemosAU/PremierNational, first published by the Herald Sun on Monday, showed Labor’s primary vote share has crashed seven points to 18%, putting it in third place behind the Coalition’s 33% and One Nation’s 21%. At the same time, the Greens improved their primary vote to 17%, an increase of three points since September.